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Ohio will be the Key in 2004 elections

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7even:
Recap: not the popular vote is what counts in the end
             --> separate state elections


Traditional Republican States: Alaska, Utah, Wyoming, Kansas, Idaho, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Oklahoma, Indiana, Montana, Mississippi, Alabama, North Carolina and South Carolina   
+huge State that is expected to choose the republican presidential candidate : Texas



Traditional Democratic States: New York, Massachusetts, Maryland, Hawaii
+huge States that are expected to choose the democratic presidential candidate: Illinois & California



Current Swing States: Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Missouri, Iowa, New Mexico, Nevada, Oregon, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Arkansas


--> How does this affect the campaign strategies of the 2 major candidates?

Neither Bush nor Kerry would put much effort into promoting themselves in States like New York or Texas.

=> Swing States get the most attention


Also, the candidates pay of course more attention to the Swing States that have the most electoral votes. (Comparison: Florida (27 electoral votes / New Mexico (5 electoral votes) )

 
Question to you: Which States will most likely decide who is going to be the President after all? (-> Key Swing States?)

1. Florida

2. Ohio

3. Pennsylvania




The candidate who wins at least 2 of the 3 Key Swing States is probably also winning the election.

I think Kerry will take Pennsylvania like Gore did and further I think Bush will take Florida because he can cheat again.


So, it all comes down to Ohio.

Ohio:

„Ohio voters have picked the winner in every presidential election since 1964. Bush took it by just four per cent in 2000, so it is ripe for the Democrats to take it back. It is the ultimate swing state. With 21 electoral votes, the winner here could be the winner overall. Both sides have already spent millions here, and will have made scores of visits by the time voting rolls around in November."



„President Bush won Ohio by 4 percent in 2000 and knows he must win it again. So far, things are swinging slightly his way. Ohio could be the ground zero of battleground states this year. No Republican has ever won the presidency without the 'Buckeye State'."



Current 'Standings': Despite having lost ~250,000 jobs since George W. Bush became President, recent polls tell us that Ohio is still leaning to Bush.

white Boy:

--- Quote from: 7even the Harbinger on October 19, 2004, 04:08:29 PM ---I think Kerry will take Pennsylvania like Gore did and further I think Bush will take Florida because he can cheat again.

--- End quote ---
::)

7even:

--- Quote from: white boy on October 19, 2004, 04:37:15 PM ---
--- Quote from: 7even the Harbinger on October 19, 2004, 04:08:29 PM ---I think Kerry will take Pennsylvania like Gore did and further I think Bush will take Florida because he can cheat again.

--- End quote ---
::)

--- End quote ---

Is it your hobby to take one-liners out of my longer, awesome posts and put a rolleyes smilie below it lol? Second time you recently did it and it doesnt get less annoying. Say what you say but what was going on 4 years ago with Florida was beyond funny.

Rampant:
 ::) to the flordia comment.

Also michigan will not be a swing state. It will most likely go to kerry because michigan is filled with industrial jobs.

We all know lots of "factory worker" type jobs were lost after 9/11. So....thats why i think it will go democratic.

Lincoln:
Bush will win in Florida because of the progress he has allowed in visitation rights with Cubans.

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