Lifestyle > Train of Thought
Clinton Done?
Kill:
So, a few weeks after 7even's question whether Obama was done was still to be taken seriously (if responded to negatively by most), it's actually vice versa. After ten consecutive wins, some of them landslides, Obama's the leading democratic candidate and has surged ahead in the Democrats' race. He has received more votes from all ethnicities (including latinos), all age groups (except very old people) and even the white-woman vote was split in the last few elections, if I'm rightly informed about this. Plus Obama seems to be generally considered the candidate likely to receive far more votes from independent voters and he is less of a target for the conservatives, hence seems to be more likely to beat McCain. Actually a friend told me yesterday (not a reliable source, but he must have had it from somewhere) that, if elections were held now, Obama would beat McCain quite clearly, while Hillary would lose by a narrow margin according to recent polls.
So while Obama's got all the momentum, Hillary, on the other hand, is basically reduced to resorting to this:
--- Quote ---She told an audience in Ohio that the choice in the Democratic primary this year is between someone in the "speeches business" and someone in the "solutions business."
"Americans have a choice to make in this election, and that choice matters," she said.
"We need to make a choice between speeches and solutions, because while words matter greatly, the best words in the world aren't enough unless you match them with action." (CNN.com)
--- End quote ---
...which is becoming tiring and redundant in my opinion. It seems to be "yes, we can" vs. "no, you can't, boohoo", which doesn't make her too attractive a candidate.
I know that technically, she is, of course, not done yet. It's all eyes on Texas and Ohio (the latter being an important swing state) now, but does anyone see her win these? Do you think she'll give up if she loses them, too? And, back to the original question, do you think that generally speaking she still has a realistic chance?
Discuss........
7even:
It's a matter of how influenced people are by Obama winning 10 smaller states in a row. She always had the lead in Ohio and Texas, and if that didn't and doesn't change, she ain't done. If she loses both states, then yeah, she's done.
Javier:
It's a must for Clinton to win both Ohio and Texas, and not just win but win by 15-20 pts. I doubt she'll be able to do that, especially in Texas. The only Clinton will be doing after those Primaries is hurting the Democratic party by remaining in the race.
M Dogg™:
She wouldn't win pledge delegate, but Clinton is sneaky, look for her to win Ohio, Texas and Penn and then argue to the convention that she deserves the nomination and never backing down. The Clintons have never played fair politics, they just win by any means.
Soul Sanatorium:
Clintons done!
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